Catholic Vote May Tip the Scales for Bush

The Christian vote and the November elections.


(Ventura, CA) – In May of this year, the presidential contest between George W. Bush and John Kerry was a toss-up. Surveys by The Barna Group in May 2004 indicated that among registered voters the race was a 43%-43% dead heat. At that time President Bush held a significant but tiny 49% to 44% lead among people likely to vote in November.

A new survey shows that among likely voters the Presidents lead has grown from a five-point margin to eight points (48% versus 40%). However, one of the major changes since May is that more likely voters are currently undecided as to whom they will vote for, now comprising 10% of the likely voters, up from just 2% in May. While President Bushs lead is statistically significant, there are enough undecided voters and leaners i.e., another 8% of likely voters who have a candidate preference at this time but are not certain they will support that candidate in November that the election remains up for grabs.

Key Points:
Major Shift Among Catholics
Christian Vote Is Crucial to Bush
Motivations for Support Differ Radically
The Faith Factor Looms Large
People of Faith Hold the Key


p. [ Full Story @ Barna Research Group ]

p(small). Source: Barna Research Group © 2004 Barna.org

p(small). Related websites (not necessarily endorsed by In The Faith):
Barna Research Group

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